Monty Hall Campaign Does Not Yield Grasp of Probability
Over at Dubious Quality, Bill Harris' reliably entertaining Friday Links feature (and I don't praise it just because he linked to us last week) has a link to my old nemesis: the Monty Hall Problem. As described in this NYT article and further in this much older NYT article, the Monty Hall Problem is a highly counterintuitive probability puzzle. I've never been able to wrap my brain around the currently accepted correct answer and remain skeptical, all emerging consensus aside. I am somewhat comforted that thousands of mathematicians and scientists originally agreed with me. Read Bill's summary and the articles — they are fascinating and infuriating.
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